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maplevalue

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  1. maplevalue

    Coronavirus

    https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-898254/v1 The COVID-19 Hospitalization Metric in the Pre- and Post-vaccination Eras as a Measure of Pandemic Severity: A Retrospective, Nationwide Cohort Study Interesting preprint, essentially saying that hospitalization numbers overstated at this point because many COVID positive people in hospital have a mild case of COVID (i.e. in the hospital for something else). Gist of the graph is the red line (which then splits into red and orange based on vaccination status) is a measure of what percentage of COVID positive patients in th
  2. maplevalue

    Coronavirus

    Completely fair point. With that being said if you are vaccinated your risk is very low, and if you are vaccinated but still high risk and don't want to catch COVID you probably are not going to be in any high risk settings anyways with a bunch of untested vaccinated people who are most likely taking very few safety precautions, because hey they're vaccinated. I still don't think the rhetoric towards the unvaxxed (mainly ethnic minorities in the US https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-global-distribution/us-vaccine-demographics.html) is warranted given if you are vaxxe
  3. maplevalue

    Coronavirus

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-people-who-are-fully-vaccinated-have-high-potential-of-spreading-covid/ The idea that it is only the unvaccinated that are spreading the disease is laughable, and this flavour of idea in Canada is currently being fueled by Trudeau pursuing an us vs. them mentality. The burden the unvaccinated are placing upon Canadian society is largely in taking up hospital resources. Which again is a bit ridiculous because in Canada they basically ban private firms from providing any sort of medical care, so the avenue of these people becoming less o
  4. maplevalue

    Coronavirus

    A Second Major Seasonal Virus Won’t Leave Us Any Choice - Scott Gottlieb https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/09/endemic-covid-manageable-risk-dual-threat-influenza/620044/
  5. Trudeau looked real bad in that debate. Always on the defensive, very negative. I doubt too many swing voters will have been convinced by his performance. Conservative minority looks more likely now. Likely will lead to a continuation of Canada being unable to get big infrastructure (e.g. pipelines) built, and continuing large deficits. Canada a bleak place economically.
  6. The conservatives are a bit maddening. They are hammering Trudeau about the rising cost of living/inflation, but are silent on modifying the BoC mandate (maybe target lower inflation!); which is the number one thing one could do to rein in inflation.
  7. maplevalue

    Coronavirus

    A COVID related thought that I have been considering lately. Generally when thinking about the course COVID will take we consider the path previous Coronaviruses have taken (such as those taken by the Spanish flu H1N1, Hong Kong Flu H3N2). We have a few waves, and then it eventually peters out to something that is 'manageable'. With evidence increasingly pointing to this being a virus that was worked on in a lab, i.e. did not emerge 100% naturally, I wonder how much we can really draw from past experience in predicting how COVID will evolve over time. Could we get something sign
  8. Canada headed to the polls September 20th 2021, so thought a thread was needed. Personal view is base case Liberal minority, but that in an election most people do not want (even the Globe agrees!) a Trudeau majority will be difficult to come by. Also, given that it will take place after two weeks of back to school which will likely see rising COVID cases in a country that is hyper/overly-sensitive to COVID, there is a risk of an unexpectedly strong showing for either the NDP or Conservatives since voters will be fed up with Trudeau calling this election. Peter Mansbridge recently i
  9. maplevalue

    Coronavirus

    Curious if anyone has a view on potential for a 4th wave/lockdowns in Winter 2022. Israel's experience with vaccinations leading to collapsing cases would suggest this is unlikely, but with the seasonality of the virus, and politicians likely to try and 'do something' if cases do begin ticking up, I feel like there is a decent chance of more lockdowns which nobody is really discussing at this point.
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